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Egypt vs Ethiopia population, 1950 to 2100

Ethiopia had 128.69 million people in 2023, versus 114.54 million in Egypt. Compare UN estimates and projections to 2100.

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What the data shows

  • Egypt: 21.15M in 1950, 201.90M in 2100 (projected) (9.5× higher). The latest estimate is 114.54M in 2023.
  • Ethiopia: 17.67M in 1950, 367.29M in 2100 (projected) (21× higher). The latest estimate is 128.69M in 2023.

About this chart

Ethiopia takes the lead in 2009, the latest reversal within the estimated part of this population series. In 2023, Ethiopia has 128.69 million people and Egypt has 114.54 million. In 1950, the corresponding totals were 21.15 million for Egypt and 17.67 million for Ethiopia. All values are population totals, rather than population density or annual growth rates.

By 2100, the UN medium-variant projection reaches 201.90 million people for Egypt and 367.29 million for Ethiopia. Estimates end in 2023; later values are conditional projections rather than observed counts. Future fertility, mortality and migration can move the eventual totals away from this path. Comparing the same projection variant keeps the two countries on a consistent basis.

The data

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts.

Egypt vs Ethiopia population, Millions of people, 1950–2100; projected after 2023, 1950–2100
Date🇪🇬 Egypt🇪🇹 Ethiopia
195021.15M17.67M
195121.61M17.99M
195222.10M18.33M
195322.64M18.67M
195423.21M19.04M
195523.80M19.42M
195624.39M19.82M
195724.99M20.17M
195825.60M20.48M
195926.23M20.88M
196026.90M21.38M
196127.60M21.91M
196228.34M22.47M
196329.09M23.05M
196429.86M23.67M
196530.63M24.31M
196631.41M24.95M
196732.20M25.62M
196833.00M26.34M
196933.81M27.07M
197034.62M27.83M
197135.43M28.60M
197236.26M29.37M
197337.10M30.17M
197437.97M30.96M
197538.88M31.72M
197639.80M32.53M
197740.75M33.17M
197841.76M33.73M
197942.82M34.24M
198043.95M34.43M
198145.15M35.30M
198246.41M36.70M
198347.79M37.74M
198449.25M38.74M
198550.73M39.84M
198652.21M41.04M
198753.67M42.46M
198855.19M44.15M
198956.71M45.88M
199058.40M47.61M
199160.03M49.72M
199261.48M51.85M
199362.92M53.71M
199464.29M55.61M
199565.65M57.54M
199667.03M59.47M
199768.43M61.40M
199869.94M63.36M
199971.52M65.37M
200073.08M67.41M
200174.65M69.49M
200276.24M71.64M
200377.85M73.83M
200479.48M76.08M
200581.10M78.37M
200682.70M80.70M
200784.28M83.10M
200885.86M85.54M
200987.50M88.01M
201089.20M90.54M
201191.09M93.15M
201293.16M95.80M
201395.33M98.44M
201497.53M101.12M
201599.60M103.87M
2016101.64M106.72M
2017103.70M109.67M
2018105.68M112.66M
2019107.55M115.74M
2020109.32M118.92M
2021110.96M122.14M
2022112.62M125.38M
2023114.54M128.69M
2024116.54M132.06M
2025118.37M135.47M
2026120.10M138.90M
2027121.85M142.36M
2028123.61M145.84M
2029125.37M149.34M
2030127.14M152.86M
2031128.91M156.38M
2032130.70M159.92M
2033132.49M163.45M
2034134.29M166.98M
2035136.10M170.53M
2036137.91M174.10M
2037139.74M177.66M
2038141.57M181.24M
2039143.39M184.84M
2040145.21M188.45M
2041147.02M192.07M
2042148.80M195.70M
2043150.55M199.35M
2044152.26M203.01M
2045153.92M206.67M
2046155.54M210.34M
2047157.11M214.02M
2048158.66M217.71M
2049160.16M221.38M
2050161.63M225.02M
2051163.06M228.69M
2052164.47M232.35M
2053165.85M235.96M
2054167.20M239.55M
2055168.53M243.11M
2056169.84M246.68M
2057171.12M250.24M
2058172.38M253.71M
2059173.62M257.20M
2060174.85M260.71M
2061176.05M264.20M
2062177.23M267.65M
2063178.40M271.03M
2064179.55M274.38M
2065180.68M277.70M
2066181.78M280.96M
2067182.86M284.23M
2068183.91M287.47M
2069184.94M290.65M
2070185.94M293.79M
2071186.91M296.90M
2072187.86M299.99M
2073188.77M303.03M
2074189.65M306.05M
2075190.50M309.06M
2076191.33M312.02M
2077192.12M314.94M
2078192.88M317.80M
2079193.60M320.56M
2080194.29M323.24M
2081194.95M325.90M
2082195.57M328.55M
2083196.16M331.14M
2084196.73M333.65M
2085197.26M336.13M
2086197.76M338.59M
2087198.24M340.99M
2088198.69M343.25M
2089199.11M345.45M
2090199.50M347.65M
2091199.87M349.84M
2092200.21M351.93M
2093200.53M353.98M
2094200.82M356.02M
2095201.08M358.00M
2096201.30M359.96M
2097201.49M361.92M
2098201.65M363.78M
2099201.79M365.54M
2100201.90M367.29M

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Suggested caption: “2009: Ethiopia takes the population lead. 2023 gap: 14.16M.” Credit the source in your caption; it heads off the 'source?' comments.

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has more people, Egypt or Ethiopia?

Ethiopia has more people in the 2023 UN estimates: about 128.69 million, compared with 114.54 million in Egypt. The gap is approximately 14.16 million.

What populations are projected for 2100?

The UN medium-variant projection gives Egypt 201.90 million people and Ethiopia 367.29 million in 2100. These values are projections, not current population estimates.

Where do the estimates end and projections begin?

The UN World Population Prospects series uses estimates through 2023. Values from 2024 onward follow its medium-variant projection. Both countries use the same source and scenario.

Where does this data come from?

UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.

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Related data

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WorldReal data

Egypt's population

Egypt: 114.54M in 2023; UN projects 201.9M in 2100. The 1950 estimate was 21.15M. Future values follow the medium scenario.

MoneyReal data

Egypt's GDP

Egypt GDP: $476.7B in 2022, versus $365.3B in 2025. World Bank totals in current US dollars; not adjusted for inflation.

WorldReal data

Egypt: life expectancy

Egypt: 71.8 years in 2024. Life expectancy peaked at 71.8 years in 2024 in this 1990–2024 series.