Stocks vs Bonds vs Gold, 1927 to 2025
$100 in the S&P 500 with dividends at the start of 1928 grew to $1,157,009 by 2025, versus $21,025 in gold and $7,718 in Treasury bonds.
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What the data shows
- S&P 500 (stocks): $100 in 1927, $1,157,009 in 2025. Its low point was $51 in 1932.
- 10-year T-bonds: $100 in 1927, $7,718 in 2025 (77× higher). It peaked at $8,921 in 2020.
- 3-month T-bills: $100 in 1927, $2,578 in 2025 (26× higher).
- Gold: $100 in 1927, $21,025 in 2025. Its low point was $83 in 1931.
About this chart
A hypothetical $100 placed in the S&P 500 at the start of 1928, with dividends reinvested, was worth $1,157,009 at the end of 2025. The same $100 grew to $21,025 in gold, $7,718 in 10-year Treasury bonds and $2,578 in 3-month T-bills. Figures are nominal, not inflation-adjusted, and come from Aswath Damodaran's historical returns dataset. Gold prices were fixed under the gold standard until 1971, so the gold line stays close to flat before then.
The path was uneven. Stocks fell to $51 by the end of 1932 from $144 at the end of 1928. Geometric average annual returns over 1928 to 2025 were 10.02% for stocks, 5.61% for gold, 4.53% for 10-year bonds and 3.37% for bills. Gold gained 66.2% in 2025 and 26.0% in 2024 in this dataset. The comparison describes past results, not a forecast.
The data
Source: Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern), Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills: 1928-2025 (histretSP.xls, sheet 'Returns by year', columns 'Value of $100 invested at start of 1928'). Retrieved November 4, 2026. Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) value of $100 invested at the start of 1928 with all income reinvested; the 1927 point is the starting $100. Stocks = S&P 500 incl. dividends; bonds = 10-year US Treasury; gold prices were fixed by the gold standard until 1971, so gold is flat-ish before then. Ends 2025.
| Date | S&P 500 (stocks) | 10-year T-bonds | 3-month T-bills | Gold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1927 | $100 | $100 | $100 | $100 |
| 1928 | $144 | $101 | $103 | $100 |
| 1929 | $132 | $105 | $106 | $100 |
| 1930 | $99 | $110 | $111 | $100 |
| 1931 | $55 | $107 | $114 | $83 |
| 1932 | $51 | $116 | $115 | $100 |
| 1933 | $76 | $119 | $116 | $128 |
| 1934 | $75 | $128 | $116 | $168 |
| 1935 | $110 | $134 | $117 | $169 |
| 1936 | $145 | $140 | $117 | $169 |
| 1937 | $94 | $142 | $117 | $169 |
| 1938 | $122 | $148 | $117 | $169 |
| 1939 | $120 | $155 | $117 | $167 |
| 1940 | $107 | $163 | $117 | $164 |
| 1941 | $94 | $160 | $117 | $164 |
| 1942 | $112 | $164 | $118 | $164 |
| 1943 | $140 | $168 | $118 | $164 |
| 1944 | $166 | $172 | $119 | $164 |
| 1945 | $226 | $179 | $119 | $168 |
| 1946 | $207 | $184 | $120 | $168 |
| 1947 | $217 | $186 | $120 | $168 |
| 1948 | $230 | $190 | $122 | $168 |
| 1949 | $272 | $198 | $123 | $154 |
| 1950 | $356 | $199 | $124 | $168 |
| 1951 | $440 | $199 | $126 | $168 |
| 1952 | $520 | $203 | $129 | $168 |
| 1953 | $513 | $212 | $131 | $169 |
| 1954 | $783 | $219 | $132 | $170 |
| 1955 | $1,038 | $216 | $134 | $170 |
| 1956 | $1,116 | $211 | $138 | $170 |
| 1957 | $999 | $225 | $142 | $169 |
| 1958 | $1,436 | $220 | $145 | $170 |
| 1959 | $1,609 | $215 | $150 | $170 |
| 1960 | $1,614 | $240 | $154 | $171 |
| 1961 | $2,044 | $244 | $158 | $171 |
| 1962 | $1,864 | $258 | $162 | $171 |
| 1963 | $2,286 | $263 | $167 | $170 |
| 1964 | $2,661 | $273 | $173 | $170 |
| 1965 | $2,991 | $274 | $180 | $170 |
| 1966 | $2,693 | $282 | $189 | $170 |
| 1967 | $3,334 | $278 | $197 | $169 |
| 1968 | $3,694 | $287 | $207 | $190 |
| 1969 | $3,390 | $273 | $221 | $200 |
| 1970 | $3,510 | $318 | $235 | $181 |
| 1971 | $4,010 | $350 | $246 | $211 |
| 1972 | $4,762 | $359 | $256 | $314 |
| 1973 | $4,080 | $373 | $274 | $544 |
| 1974 | $3,024 | $380 | $295 | $904 |
| 1975 | $4,142 | $394 | $312 | $680 |
| 1976 | $5,129 | $457 | $328 | $652 |
| 1977 | $4,771 | $463 | $345 | $799 |
| 1978 | $5,082 | $459 | $370 | $1,095 |
| 1979 | $6,023 | $462 | $407 | $2,481 |
| 1980 | $7,934 | $448 | $453 | $2,857 |
| 1981 | $7,561 | $485 | $517 | $1,926 |
| 1982 | $9,105 | $644 | $574 | $2,227 |
| 1983 | $11,139 | $665 | $625 | $1,853 |
| 1984 | $11,824 | $756 | $687 | $1,494 |
| 1985 | $15,517 | $950 | $740 | $1,583 |
| 1986 | $18,386 | $1,181 | $786 | $1,883 |
| 1987 | $19,455 | $1,122 | $833 | $2,345 |
| 1988 | $22,672 | $1,215 | $890 | $1,988 |
| 1989 | $29,809 | $1,430 | $965 | $1,931 |
| 1990 | $28,895 | $1,519 | $1,040 | $1,871 |
| 1991 | $37,632 | $1,747 | $1,097 | $1,711 |
| 1992 | $40,452 | $1,910 | $1,136 | $1,613 |
| 1993 | $44,483 | $2,182 | $1,171 | $1,898 |
| 1994 | $45,073 | $2,006 | $1,222 | $1,857 |
| 1995 | $61,838 | $2,478 | $1,291 | $1,875 |
| 1996 | $75,864 | $2,513 | $1,357 | $1,789 |
| 1997 | $100,977 | $2,763 | $1,428 | $1,406 |
| 1998 | $129,592 | $3,175 | $1,498 | $1,394 |
| 1999 | $156,658 | $2,913 | $1,570 | $1,406 |
| 2000 | $142,509 | $3,398 | $1,664 | $1,330 |
| 2001 | $125,622 | $3,587 | $1,722 | $1,340 |
| 2002 | $98,028 | $4,130 | $1,750 | $1,682 |
| 2003 | $125,824 | $4,145 | $1,768 | $2,017 |
| 2004 | $139,341 | $4,331 | $1,793 | $2,110 |
| 2005 | $146,078 | $4,456 | $1,850 | $2,485 |
| 2006 | $168,884 | $4,543 | $1,940 | $3,062 |
| 2007 | $178,147 | $5,007 | $2,027 | $4,039 |
| 2008 | $113,030 | $6,013 | $2,056 | $4,214 |
| 2009 | $142,345 | $5,345 | $2,059 | $5,269 |
| 2010 | $163,442 | $5,797 | $2,061 | $6,810 |
| 2011 | $166,872 | $6,727 | $2,063 | $7,628 |
| 2012 | $193,388 | $6,926 | $2,064 | $8,062 |
| 2013 | $255,553 | $6,296 | $2,066 | $5,836 |
| 2014 | $290,115 | $6,972 | $2,066 | $5,843 |
| 2015 | $294,116 | $7,062 | $2,067 | $5,136 |
| 2016 | $328,742 | $7,111 | $2,074 | $5,552 |
| 2017 | $399,769 | $7,310 | $2,094 | $6,255 |
| 2018 | $382,871 | $7,309 | $2,135 | $6,197 |
| 2019 | $502,371 | $8,013 | $2,180 | $7,379 |
| 2020 | $592,915 | $8,921 | $2,188 | $9,162 |
| 2021 | $761,711 | $8,527 | $2,189 | $8,818 |
| 2022 | $624,317 | $7,007 | $2,234 | $8,867 |
| 2023 | $787,019 | $7,279 | $2,352 | $10,043 |
| 2024 | $982,818 | $7,159 | $2,474 | $12,649 |
| 2025 | $1,157,009 | $7,718 | $2,578 | $21,025 |
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Frequently asked questions
How much would $100 invested in 1928 be worth now?
In the S&P 500 with dividends reinvested, $100 at the start of 1928 grew to $1,157,009 by the end of 2025, in nominal dollars. Gold reached $21,025 and 10-year Treasury bonds $7,718 over the same period.
Have stocks beaten bonds and gold since 1928?
In this dataset, yes: stocks averaged 10.02% a year, against 5.61% for gold, 4.53% for 10-year Treasury bonds and 3.37% for T-bills. The averages hide big swings, including the fall from $144 to $51 between 1928 and 1932.
Where does this data come from?
Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern), Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills: 1928-2025 (histretSP.xls, sheet 'Returns by year', columns 'Value of $100 invested at start of 1928'). Retrieved November 4, 2026. Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) value of $100 invested at the start of 1928 with all income reinvested; the 1927 point is the starting $100. Stocks = S&P 500 incl. dividends; bonds = 10-year US Treasury; gold prices were fixed by the gold standard until 1971, so gold is flat-ish before then. Ends 2025. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.
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