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Modesto, California population, 2010 to 2025

Modesto, California: 219,652 residents in 2025, up 8.1% since 2010. Explore Census city-limit population data.

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What the data shows

  • Modesto, California: 203K in 2010, 220K in 2025. It peaked at 220K in 2024.

About this chart

Modesto, California, ended 2025 below its 2024 population high: 219,652 residents, compared with 220,315 at the peak. Its city-limit count moved from 203,278 in 2010 to 219,652 in 2025. The largest annual change in the displayed series occurred in 2020: 3,690 more residents than the preceding estimate. That change coincides with the transition between Census vintages.

These figures measure Modesto within its Census incorporated-place boundaries, not the population of the surrounding metropolitan area. They are July 1 estimates, combining Vintage 2020 for 2010–2019 and Vintage 2025 for 2020 onward. City boundaries can change, and newer Census vintages revise estimates; a shift in this series cannot be attributed to migration alone. Consolidated-city balances exclude separately incorporated places. The table preserves exact resident counts, while the chart follows the annual sequence.

The data

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, city and town population estimates (Vintage 2020 for 2010–2019, Vintage 2025 for 2020–2025), incorporated places, July 1, people. Retrieved November 6, 2026. Census incorporated-place boundaries, not a metropolitan area. Boundary changes and revisions between Census vintages can affect comparisons. Consolidated city balances exclude separately incorporated places.

Modesto, California population, City-limit residents, 2010 to 2025, 2010–2025
DateModesto, California
2010203K
2011204K
2012205K
2013206K
2014208K
2015209K
2016211K
2017213K
2018214K
2019215K
2020219K
2021219K
2022219K
2023220K
2024220K
2025220K

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Suggested caption: “Modesto: 220,315 at its 2024 peak; 219,652 in 2025.” Credit the source in your caption; it heads off the 'source?' comments.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the population of Modesto?

Modesto, California, had an estimated 219,652 residents on July 1, 2025, according to the Census Bureau. This is the city-limit population, not the metro area.

Is Modesto growing or shrinking?

Its city-limit count rose from 203,278 in 2010 to 219,652 in 2025, a 8.1% increase. The most recent year-to-year change was 663 fewer residents. Boundary changes and estimate revisions can affect comparisons.

How does Modesto rank by population?

It ranked 110 among US incorporated places in the 2025 estimates used here. This is a city-limit ranking; a metro-area ranking would use a different geographic unit.

Where does this data come from?

U.S. Census Bureau, city and town population estimates (Vintage 2020 for 2010–2019, Vintage 2025 for 2020–2025), incorporated places, July 1, people. Retrieved November 6, 2026. Census incorporated-place boundaries, not a metropolitan area. Boundary changes and revisions between Census vintages can affect comparisons. Consolidated city balances exclude separately incorporated places. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.

Can I turn this chart into a video?

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