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Kenya vs Ethiopia population, 1950 to 2100

Ethiopia had 128.69 million people in 2023, versus 55.34 million in Kenya. Compare UN estimates and projections to 2100.

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What the data shows

  • Kenya: 5.77M in 1950, 104.20M in 2100 (projected) (18× higher). The latest estimate is 55.34M in 2023. It is projected to peak at 104.23M in 2097.
  • Ethiopia: 17.67M in 1950, 367.29M in 2100 (projected) (21× higher). The latest estimate is 128.69M in 2023.

About this chart

The UN projects Ethiopia to reach 367.29 million people in 2100, above its 2023 estimate of 128.69 million. At the estimated endpoint, Ethiopia has 128.69 million people against 55.34 million for Kenya. In 1950, the corresponding totals were 5.77 million for Kenya and 17.67 million for Ethiopia. All values are population totals, rather than population density or annual growth rates.

By 2100, the UN medium-variant projection reaches 104.20 million people for Kenya and 367.29 million for Ethiopia. Estimates end in 2023; later values are conditional projections rather than observed counts. Future fertility, mortality and migration can move the eventual totals away from this path. Comparing the same projection variant keeps the two countries on a consistent basis.

The data

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts.

Kenya vs Ethiopia population, Millions of people, 1950–2100; projected after 2023, 1950–2100
Date🇰🇪 Kenya🇪🇹 Ethiopia
19505.77M17.67M
19515.89M17.99M
19526.03M18.33M
19536.18M18.67M
19546.35M19.04M
19556.53M19.42M
19566.73M19.82M
19576.94M20.17M
19587.17M20.48M
19597.42M20.88M
19607.70M21.38M
19617.99M21.91M
19628.30M22.47M
19638.63M23.05M
19648.97M23.67M
19659.34M24.31M
19669.72M24.95M
196710.11M25.62M
196810.52M26.34M
196910.94M27.07M
197011.37M27.83M
197111.79M28.60M
197212.21M29.37M
197312.63M30.17M
197413.07M30.96M
197513.51M31.72M
197613.96M32.53M
197714.43M33.17M
197814.93M33.73M
197915.46M34.24M
198016.02M34.43M
198116.60M35.30M
198217.21M36.70M
198317.85M37.74M
198418.51M38.74M
198519.20M39.84M
198619.90M41.04M
198720.62M42.46M
198821.36M44.15M
198922.12M45.88M
199022.89M47.61M
199123.65M49.72M
199224.38M51.85M
199325.12M53.71M
199425.86M55.61M
199526.60M57.54M
199627.34M59.47M
199728.10M61.40M
199828.89M63.36M
199929.73M65.37M
200030.64M67.41M
200131.62M69.49M
200232.63M71.64M
200333.65M73.83M
200434.71M76.08M
200535.80M78.37M
200636.90M80.70M
200738.04M83.10M
200839.21M85.54M
200940.41M88.01M
201041.60M90.54M
201142.76M93.15M
201243.89M95.80M
201344.99M98.44M
201446.05M101.12M
201547.09M103.87M
201648.14M106.72M
201749.20M109.67M
201850.21M112.66M
201951.20M115.74M
202052.22M118.92M
202153.22M122.14M
202254.25M125.38M
202355.34M128.69M
202456.43M132.06M
202557.53M135.47M
202658.64M138.90M
202759.75M142.36M
202860.86M145.84M
202961.98M149.34M
203063.10M152.86M
203164.23M156.38M
203265.36M159.92M
203366.48M163.45M
203467.60M166.98M
203568.72M170.53M
203669.82M174.10M
203770.91M177.66M
203871.99M181.24M
203973.06M184.84M
204074.11M188.45M
204175.14M192.07M
204276.16M195.70M
204377.16M199.35M
204478.13M203.01M
204579.09M206.67M
204680.02M210.34M
204780.94M214.02M
204881.84M217.71M
204982.72M221.38M
205083.59M225.02M
205184.45M228.69M
205285.29M232.35M
205386.12M235.96M
205486.93M239.55M
205587.73M243.11M
205688.52M246.68M
205789.30M250.24M
205890.07M253.71M
205990.83M257.20M
206091.57M260.71M
206192.29M264.20M
206293.00M267.65M
206393.69M271.03M
206494.35M274.38M
206594.98M277.70M
206695.60M280.96M
206796.19M284.23M
206896.76M287.47M
206997.31M290.65M
207097.83M293.79M
207198.32M296.90M
207298.80M299.99M
207399.24M303.03M
207499.66M306.05M
2075100.06M309.06M
2076100.44M312.02M
2077100.80M314.94M
2078101.13M317.80M
2079101.45M320.56M
2080101.74M323.24M
2081102.02M325.90M
2082102.28M328.55M
2083102.52M331.14M
2084102.74M333.65M
2085102.95M336.13M
2086103.14M338.59M
2087103.31M340.99M
2088103.48M343.25M
2089103.63M345.45M
2090103.76M347.65M
2091103.88M349.84M
2092103.98M351.93M
2093104.06M353.98M
2094104.13M356.02M
2095104.18M358.00M
2096104.21M359.96M
2097104.23M361.92M
2098104.23M363.78M
2099104.22M365.54M
2100104.20M367.29M

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has more people, Kenya or Ethiopia?

Ethiopia has more people in the 2023 UN estimates: about 128.69 million, compared with 55.34 million in Kenya. The gap is approximately 73.35 million.

What populations are projected for 2100?

The UN medium-variant projection gives Kenya 104.20 million people and Ethiopia 367.29 million in 2100. These values are projections, not current population estimates.

Where do the estimates end and projections begin?

The UN World Population Prospects series uses estimates through 2023. Values from 2024 onward follow its medium-variant projection. Both countries use the same source and scenario.

Where does this data come from?

UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.

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