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Brazil vs Mexico population, 1950 to 2100

Brazil had 211.14 million people in 2023, versus 129.74 million in Mexico. Compare UN estimates and projections to 2100.

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What the data shows

  • Brazil: 53.41M in 1950, 163.36M in 2100 (projected) (3.1× higher). The latest estimate is 211.14M in 2023. It is projected to peak at 219.32M in 2042.
  • Mexico: 27.59M in 1950, 130.25M in 2100 (projected) (4.7× higher). The latest estimate is 129.74M in 2023. It is projected to peak at 149.94M in 2058.

About this chart

The UN projects Brazil to reach 163.36 million people in 2100, below its 2023 estimate of 211.14 million. At the estimated endpoint, Brazil has 211.14 million people against 129.74 million for Mexico. In 1950, the corresponding totals were 53.41 million for Brazil and 27.59 million for Mexico. All values are population totals, rather than population density or annual growth rates.

By 2100, the UN medium-variant projection reaches 163.36 million people for Brazil and 130.25 million for Mexico. Estimates end in 2023; later values are conditional projections rather than observed counts. Future fertility, mortality and migration can move the eventual totals away from this path. Comparing the same projection variant keeps the two countries on a consistent basis.

The data

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts.

Brazil vs Mexico population, Millions of people, 1950–2100; projected after 2023, 1950–2100
Date🇧🇷 Brazil🇲🇽 Mexico
195053.41M27.59M
195155.02M28.32M
195256.69M29.09M
195358.43M29.90M
195460.24M30.75M
195562.10M31.65M
195664.03M32.59M
195766.03M33.56M
195868.09M34.58M
195970.21M35.63M
196072.39M36.72M
196174.61M37.89M
196276.87M39.13M
196379.16M40.42M
196481.49M41.77M
196583.82M43.17M
196686.14M44.63M
196788.45M46.13M
196890.74M47.67M
196993.05M49.23M
197095.38M50.81M
197197.74M52.41M
1972100.15M54.03M
1973102.60M55.67M
1974105.09M57.32M
1975107.62M58.98M
1976110.21M60.65M
1977112.88M62.31M
1978115.60M63.98M
1979118.38M65.65M
1980121.21M67.30M
1981124.06M68.89M
1982126.92M70.43M
1983129.79M71.97M
1984132.66M73.51M
1985135.52M75.04M
1986138.34M76.59M
1987141.10M78.14M
1988143.83M79.70M
1989146.50M81.25M
1990149.14M82.82M
1991151.72M84.43M
1992154.28M86.04M
1993156.79M87.65M
1994159.27M89.26M
1995161.74M90.86M
1996164.20M92.45M
1997166.66M94.02M
1998169.16M95.58M
1999171.64M97.12M
2000174.02M98.63M
2001176.30M100.10M
2002178.50M101.55M
2003180.62M102.98M
2004182.68M104.39M
2005184.69M105.81M
2006186.65M107.25M
2007188.55M108.77M
2008190.37M110.37M
2009192.08M112.00M
2010193.70M113.62M
2011195.28M115.24M
2012196.88M116.82M
2013198.48M118.34M
2014200.09M119.78M
2015201.68M121.07M
2016203.22M122.25M
2017204.70M123.40M
2018206.11M124.57M
2019207.46M125.76M
2020208.66M126.80M
2021209.55M127.65M
2022210.31M128.61M
2023211.14M129.74M
2024212.00M130.86M
2025212.81M131.95M
2026213.56M133.00M
2027214.26M134.02M
2028214.91M135.01M
2029215.52M135.97M
2030216.07M136.90M
2031216.59M137.81M
2032217.06M138.69M
2033217.48M139.54M
2034217.86M140.36M
2035218.20M141.15M
2036218.50M141.91M
2037218.75M142.64M
2038218.96M143.34M
2039219.12M144.00M
2040219.24M144.62M
2041219.31M145.22M
2042219.32M145.78M
2043219.28M146.30M
2044219.18M146.79M
2045219.03M147.24M
2046218.82M147.65M
2047218.57M148.03M
2048218.26M148.37M
2049217.90M148.68M
2050217.49M148.95M
2051217.04M149.18M
2052216.55M149.38M
2053216.01M149.55M
2054215.42M149.69M
2055214.79M149.79M
2056214.12M149.87M
2057213.41M149.92M
2058212.66M149.94M
2059211.87M149.93M
2060211.04M149.89M
2061210.17M149.83M
2062209.26M149.74M
2063208.32M149.62M
2064207.35M149.47M
2065206.34M149.30M
2066205.31M149.10M
2067204.24M148.88M
2068203.15M148.63M
2069202.03M148.36M
2070200.89M148.06M
2071199.73M147.74M
2072198.55M147.40M
2073197.34M147.03M
2074196.13M146.63M
2075194.90M146.21M
2076193.66M145.77M
2077192.40M145.31M
2078191.14M144.83M
2079189.87M144.32M
2080188.60M143.80M
2081187.32M143.25M
2082186.03M142.69M
2083184.74M142.11M
2084183.46M141.51M
2085182.18M140.89M
2086180.89M140.26M
2087179.61M139.61M
2088178.33M138.95M
2089177.05M138.28M
2090175.78M137.60M
2091174.51M136.90M
2092173.25M136.19M
2093171.99M135.48M
2094170.73M134.75M
2095169.48M134.01M
2096168.24M133.26M
2097167.01M132.52M
2098165.78M131.76M
2099164.57M131.01M
2100163.36M130.25M

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has more people, Brazil or Mexico?

Brazil has more people in the 2023 UN estimates: about 211.14 million, compared with 129.74 million in Mexico. The gap is approximately 81.40 million.

What populations are projected for 2100?

The UN medium-variant projection gives Brazil 163.36 million people and Mexico 130.25 million in 2100. These values are projections, not current population estimates.

Where do the estimates end and projections begin?

The UN World Population Prospects series uses estimates through 2023. Values from 2024 onward follow its medium-variant projection. Both countries use the same source and scenario.

Where does this data come from?

UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.

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