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Nigeria vs Egypt population, 1950 to 2100

Nigeria had 227.88 million people in 2023, versus 114.54 million in Egypt. Compare UN estimates and projections to 2100.

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What the data shows

  • Nigeria: 37.28M in 1950, 476.75M in 2100 (projected) (13× higher). The latest estimate is 227.88M in 2023.
  • Egypt: 21.15M in 1950, 201.90M in 2100 (projected) (9.5× higher). The latest estimate is 114.54M in 2023.

About this chart

The UN projects Nigeria to reach 476.75 million people in 2100, above its 2023 estimate of 227.88 million. At the estimated endpoint, Nigeria has 227.88 million people against 114.54 million for Egypt. In 1950, the corresponding totals were 37.28 million for Nigeria and 21.15 million for Egypt. All values are population totals, rather than population density or annual growth rates.

By 2100, the UN medium-variant projection reaches 476.75 million people for Nigeria and 201.90 million for Egypt. Estimates end in 2023; later values are conditional projections rather than observed counts. Future fertility, mortality and migration can move the eventual totals away from this path. Comparing the same projection variant keeps the two countries on a consistent basis.

The data

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts.

Nigeria vs Egypt population, Millions of people, 1950–2100; projected after 2023, 1950–2100
Date🇳🇬 Nigeria🇪🇬 Egypt
195037.28M21.15M
195137.99M21.61M
195238.72M22.10M
195339.44M22.64M
195440.18M23.21M
195540.94M23.80M
195641.72M24.39M
195742.52M24.99M
195843.32M25.60M
195944.16M26.23M
196045.05M26.90M
196145.99M27.60M
196246.97M28.34M
196347.97M29.09M
196449.01M29.86M
196550.09M30.63M
196651.19M31.41M
196752.29M32.20M
196853.43M33.00M
196954.63M33.81M
197055.89M34.62M
197157.21M35.43M
197258.60M36.26M
197360.08M37.10M
197461.68M37.97M
197563.41M38.88M
197665.26M39.80M
197767.23M40.75M
197869.33M41.76M
197971.50M42.82M
198073.76M43.95M
198176.07M45.15M
198278.38M46.41M
198380.44M47.79M
198482.53M49.25M
198584.90M50.73M
198687.24M52.21M
198789.59M53.67M
198892.02M55.19M
198994.53M56.71M
199097.12M58.40M
199199.72M60.03M
1992102.37M61.48M
1993105.12M62.92M
1994107.94M64.29M
1995110.82M65.65M
1996113.75M67.03M
1997116.75M68.43M
1998119.85M69.94M
1999123.05M71.52M
2000126.38M73.08M
2001129.86M74.65M
2002133.47M76.24M
2003137.20M77.85M
2004141.06M79.48M
2005145.02M81.10M
2006149.08M82.70M
2007153.27M84.28M
2008157.60M85.86M
2009162.05M87.50M
2010166.64M89.20M
2011171.38M91.09M
2012176.20M93.16M
2013181.05M95.33M
2014185.90M97.53M
2015190.67M99.60M
2016195.44M101.64M
2017200.25M103.70M
2018204.94M105.68M
2019209.49M107.55M
2020214.00M109.32M
2021218.53M110.96M
2022223.15M112.62M
2023227.88M114.54M
2024232.68M116.54M
2025237.53M118.37M
2026242.43M120.10M
2027247.37M121.85M
2028252.35M123.61M
2029257.35M125.37M
2030262.38M127.14M
2031267.42M128.91M
2032272.48M130.70M
2033277.56M132.49M
2034282.62M134.29M
2035287.69M136.10M
2036292.74M137.91M
2037297.77M139.74M
2038302.78M141.57M
2039307.76M143.39M
2040312.71M145.21M
2041317.61M147.02M
2042322.45M148.80M
2043327.24M150.55M
2044331.98M152.26M
2045336.66M153.92M
2046341.28M155.54M
2047345.84M157.11M
2048350.35M158.66M
2049354.79M160.16M
2050359.19M161.63M
2051363.52M163.06M
2052367.80M164.47M
2053372.02M165.85M
2054376.18M167.20M
2055380.27M168.53M
2056384.30M169.84M
2057388.27M171.12M
2058392.17M172.38M
2059396.01M173.62M
2060399.79M174.85M
2061403.50M176.05M
2062407.15M177.23M
2063410.73M178.40M
2064414.23M179.55M
2065417.66M180.68M
2066421.00M181.78M
2067424.26M182.86M
2068427.43M183.91M
2069430.50M184.94M
2070433.49M185.94M
2071436.37M186.91M
2072439.17M187.86M
2073441.87M188.77M
2074444.47M189.65M
2075446.97M190.50M
2076449.37M191.33M
2077451.66M192.12M
2078453.85M192.88M
2079455.94M193.60M
2080457.92M194.29M
2081459.79M194.95M
2082461.54M195.57M
2083463.19M196.16M
2084464.74M196.73M
2085466.19M197.26M
2086467.53M197.76M
2087468.77M198.24M
2088469.90M198.69M
2089470.94M199.11M
2090471.89M199.50M
2091472.74M199.87M
2092473.50M200.21M
2093474.16M200.53M
2094474.74M200.82M
2095475.25M201.08M
2096475.69M201.30M
2097476.07M201.49M
2098476.38M201.65M
2099476.60M201.79M
2100476.75M201.90M

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Suggested caption: “UN 2100 projection: Nigeria 476.75M; Egypt 201.90M.” Credit the source in your caption; it heads off the 'source?' comments.

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has more people, Nigeria or Egypt?

Nigeria has more people in the 2023 UN estimates: about 227.88 million, compared with 114.54 million in Egypt. The gap is approximately 113.35 million.

What populations are projected for 2100?

The UN medium-variant projection gives Nigeria 476.75 million people and Egypt 201.90 million in 2100. These values are projections, not current population estimates.

Where do the estimates end and projections begin?

The UN World Population Prospects series uses estimates through 2023. Values from 2024 onward follow its medium-variant projection. Both countries use the same source and scenario.

Where does this data come from?

UN World Population Prospects 2024 via Our World in Data; estimates to 2023, medium-variant projections after, millions of people. Retrieved November 5, 2026. UN estimates through 2023; later years are medium-variant projections, not observed counts. You can download the full table as a CSV from this page.

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